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Countries by Future Population Growth

Name the countries whose populations are projected to increase the most between 2017 and 2070.
  • In absolute numbers, not percentage
  • 2070 numbers by UN estimates - medium fertility variant
  • Current populations from Wikipedia, December 2017
  • Also see shrinking countries
  • Quiz by Quizmaster - Dec 14, 2017
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#
Country
429 m
355 m
198 m
151 m
140 m
131 m
109 m
103 m
91.8 m
81.4 m
#
Country
78.5 m
75.4 m
67.8 m
65.7 m
62.2 m
58.4 m
51.2 m
49.5 m
47.4 m
45.0 m
Answer Stats
#
Country
% Correct
Your %
+19
level ∞
Dec 14, 2017
It's hard not to see major humanitarian crises ahead in many of these countries.
+8
level 67
Dec 14, 2017
Definitely, but also possibly some new economic powerhouses. I think Egypt and Nigeria might become pretty influential. I reckon the situation is likely to get really bad for Sudan, Uganda, and DRC though
+4
level 58
Jan 12, 2018
In What way do you see Nigeria becoming influential? They make almost all of the money they earn on Oil which we all know will die out at some point. I don't see any structural developments happening overthere what may lead them to becoming a economic power other than cheap labor.
+4
level 67
Jan 12, 2018
Nigeria holds a pivotal spot housing the delta of the Niger River, so trade to Mali, Niger, Burkina Faso, will probably go through them. Though Western countries will slowly move away from oil, developing countries such as many in Africa will still rely on oil for many decades to come. They're also branching out and have a pretty prolific movie industry, "Nollywood". Even though the movies are terrible, it shows that Nigerians are trying to innovate and create.

It's still personal opinion and I don't have any hard data. I just feel like they have more going for them than some of their neighbors.
+2
level 49
Jan 12, 2018
Nigeria is where Africa's tech boom will take place.
+4
level 60
Jan 13, 2018
Is Bangladesh influential nowadays? Booming population doesn't build nor soft neither hard power. It simply inflates risks and threats.
+1
level 30
Feb 5, 2018
@bahua nah. Ghana will be the centre of Africa's tech boom. It already has a burgeoning tech sector, and some of the fastest internet connections in Sub-Saharan Africa. Also, compared to many of the African countries here, it's quite politically stable; granted, this is all relative in Africa, but it's less likely to scare off investors.
+1
level 78
Dec 14, 2017
The reason you might have 0% for the bottom two is that the quiz is not accepting these answers
+7
level 66
Dec 15, 2017
103 million extra people for Niger! There are hardly over 20 million right now! Just look at a satellite image of the place - there's no way Niger can comfortably support so many people. This is actually a pretty scary quiz... Also, the omission of Indonesia was pretty surprising considering its current population and the fact that most Islamic countries tend to have pretty high birth rates.
+2
level 78
Dec 15, 2017
All in all that's way over a billion people. Yes, it's Scary. Why "Ivory Coast" and not "Cote d'Ivoire" though?
+8
level ∞
Dec 15, 2017
I plan on using Ivory Coast on all new quizzes and gradually changing the old ones as well. The tipping point for me when was Cape Verde tried to change the English name of their country to "Cabo Verde", and I realized how ridiculous that is. No one insists that we use Italia, Suomi, Росси́я or 中国. English is a dynamic language that exists in a realm that is separate from government dictates. Queue the debate!
+2
level 65
Dec 16, 2017
sillie ....... change your name to stirrer
+1
level 13
Jan 12, 2018
The world population is supposed to increase by over 2 billion by 2020 anyway so its not that surprising
+5
level 65
Jan 12, 2018
Then, why not revert to Peking, Calcutta and Bombay?
+1
level 58
Jan 12, 2018
*cue
+1
level ∞
Jan 12, 2018
Classic blunder on my part. :)
+1
level 33
Jan 12, 2018
So then, Czechia or Czech Republic?
+1
level 47
Jan 13, 2018
@RedSoloZach 2 billion in 2 years? You must have got that from subtracting some out-of-date statistic from the projection.
+4
level 43
Jan 12, 2018
I was about to type Nigeria and it accepted Niger, I was too "wth?". Most of the country is desert. Water and agrarian problems already exist. I cannot imagine how far the problem would go if they multiply their population by five by the late 21st century.
+3
level 50
Jan 12, 2018
A lot of us like to act like another world war wouldn't happen again but I'm pretty sure there will be another one before 2070 and if that takes place, these numbers will be off by a longshot.
+2
level 48
Jan 12, 2018
For the Earth's sake I hope you're wrong.
+1
level 66
Jan 12, 2018
The people of Earth or Earth itself?
+4
level 56
Jan 12, 2018
Most likely both ^^
+1
level 57
Jan 12, 2018
(Singing) Guessing all the countries in Africa, Africa. Why are there so many in Af-Ri-Caaaa!
+1
level 13
Jan 12, 2018
The reason there are so many African countries with the biggest population booms is because nobody there can afford contraception methods.
+3
level 34
Jan 14, 2018
That is not strictly true, is it? It is way more complicated
+2
level 52
Jan 19, 2018
That's probably about three and a half percent of the total answer right there.
+1
level 56
Jan 12, 2018
Just guess the lesser developed countries and you'll get them all.
+3
level 43
Jan 13, 2018
Like USA.
+2
level 52
Jan 12, 2018
What's the US doing between all these developing countries?
+2
level 65
Jan 12, 2018
Assuming more immigration?
+2
level ∞
Jan 12, 2018
Yes, it's immigration.
+1
level 72
Jan 14, 2018
Current population growth projections, if you remove immigration from the equation, have the United States' total population peaking in 2040 at around 342 million and then slowly declining after that.
+1
level 34
Jan 12, 2018
Holy crap! Tanzania, Niger and Uganda are done for. Especially Uganda.
+2
level 44
Jan 13, 2018
It might sound cynical but..a population growth should only occur if the territory can substain it.. 103 million people more in Niger? They are already starving...
+1
level 45
Jan 14, 2018
With the exception of the US, countries that can ill afford to have population booms considering the scarcity of food; unstable governments; epidemic poverty and diseases...makes Trump's insult of a few days ago sound downright prescient.
+3
level 72
Jan 14, 2018
No sound Trump has ever uttered deserves to be described with an adjective with "scio" as a root.
+1
level 48
Jan 14, 2018
Over the next 50 years, the World's population growth, on average, is due to come almost entirely from everyone getting older. As a species, our fertility rate is now basically at the replacement level. India, despite being the top of this quiz, already is having fewer babies born each year. However much of Asia and West have below replacement level fertility rates, which means that Africa is still way above. What's most shocking about Africa is that even in 2070, most of these countries will still have a population pyramid that still looks like a pyramid (the number of babies born increasing every year), and not barrel shaped like the rest of the world
+1
level 49
Jan 15, 2018
Rest In Piece, Uganda
+1
level 69
Apr 2, 2018
Whilst these numbers are pretty shocking, even Uganda - which will narrowly beat out Nigeria on population density in 2070 - will have 633/sq km compared to Bangladesh which today has 1,141/sq km (and will in 2070 have 1,384/sq km according to the UN). Only Nigeria and Uganda will have a population density greater than South Korea has today and none will reach Taiwan's current density. Of course these are exceedingly poor countries currently, but that was also the case for much of East Asia in the mid-20th century. Bangladesh is currently very poor (its PPP per capita is a third lower than Nigeria's). Not that things are exactly peachy in Bangladesh, but my point is these figures do not indicate Africa going into uncharted territory. Certainly this level of population density is not prohibitive in and of itself to prosperity - Taiwan, Japan, South Korea and the Netherlands are all in the same range.
+1
level 69
Apr 2, 2018
Also, the Ivory Coast having 72,000,000 was pretty shocking to me, but looking into past population statistics, it pretty closely mirrors Thailand's growth from the late 1950s to today. Thailand is slightly larger than the Ivory Coast, but they're in the same ballpark, size-wise.
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