Now, i'm not saying this is a strong argument, but it was an incentive for some states to join the United States following independence.
With that said though, the margin of victory the Dems get in CA and NY simply outweighs everything else. So, it would not be the best way.
I'm not really sure I believe that Arkansas poll. If that was a fluke, then Nevada would slide in to the 10th most competitive spot. Would be pretty crazy if Trump lost in Arkansas. But the fact that Texas and Georgia are competitive this year is also bad news for him. Those have traditionally been Republican strongholds and also where they get a substantial chunk of their electoral college votes.
None of the other states are surprising. My home state of Virginia is leaning more blue all the time. Happy to see that sanity is prevailing there.