What's the Most Unlikely Thing That Can Happen to You? (RLL #1)
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Last updated: Saturday November 25th, 2023
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Last updated: Saturday November 25th, 2023
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What is the Most Unlikely Thing That Can Happen to You?
This post is based on a YouTube video by RealLifeLore, which I found to be very interesting; please check that out after reading this.
You've likely experienced things that we, as people, consider exceptionally impossible to happen in a typical person's life. But have you ever pondered what the most unlikely thing that can happen to you is?
Let's begin off with smaller probabilities and work our way up. In case you were to step into a room with 50 individuals, there's a 1 in 12 chance that one of those people will have the same birthday as you. That might appear quite improbable to begin with, but there are more things we'll be clarifying in this blog post that are interminably more unlikely.
In case you apply to Harvard, you merely have a 1 in 20 chance of getting accepted. But that's still more likely than taking a pair of dice and rolling snake eyes, which encompasses a 1 in 36 chance. To get more improbable, you've got a 1 in 100 chance of getting a brain tumor in your life, and a 1 in 102 chance of getting murdered in a car accident if you live in the United States. Medically speaking, you had a 1 in 500 chance of being born with 11 fingers or toes.
But all of that's still more likely than a high-school hockey player going pro, which features a 1 in 598 chance. In truth, it's exceptionally impossible that a high-school competitor will ever make it to the pros, with baseball being a 1 in 659 chance, football at 1 in 4,233, soccer at 1 in 5,768, and most challenging of all, basketball at 1 in 11,771. Correctly guessing a 4-digit pin code on the first attempt encompasses a 1 in 10,000 chance. The chances of you rolling a perfect 300-point game in bowling are 1 in 11,500. You have got a 1 in 12,000 chance of getting struck by lightning on the off chance that you live within the United States.
If your golf skills are at an average level, then you have a 1 in 12,500 chance of getting a hole-in-one at the golf course on your first try. There's a 1 in 18,000 chance of you getting murdered if you live in the United States and a 1 in 54,000 chance of dying from a bee sting. MBAs have a 1 in 135,000 chance of being the CEO of a Fortune 500 company. Engineers have a 1 in 164,000 chance while lawyers only have a 1 in 386,000 chance.
You have a 1 in 340,000 chance of getting killed in a fireworks accident. The odds of getting dealt a Royal Flush in Poker are only 1 in 649,740.
The odds of getting killed by a terrorist in the USA are just 1 in 4,000,000 and getting eaten by a shark at 1 in 8,000,000. If you were born in the U.S. you have a surprisingly high 1 in 10,000,000 chance of becoming president, while you have a 1 in 11,000,000 chance of dying in a plane crash. Winning the Jackpot of the PowerBall lottery has just a 1 in 175,000,000 chance.
Now let's jump to some extremely unlikely events that can occur. The odds of you getting a perfect NCAA bracket in basketball is just 1 in 128 billion. Getting killed by a falling satellite has the odds of just 1 in 21 trillion. If you take a 100-question multiple-choice quiz by purely guessing on every single question, then there's only a 1 in 750 trillion chance of you getting all the questions correct.
The most unlikely thing that can ever happen to you may seem pretty difficult to wrap your head around - shuffling a deck of 52 cards and getting them in the same order as it was previously. The odds of this ever happening are at just 1 in 80 unvigintillion, or 1 in 8.0658*1067, a number which contains 67 zeroes. There are more ways to arrange a deck of cards than there are atoms in the Milky Way galaxy. This means that every time you shuffle a deck of cards, the same order of cards had probably never been seen in human history and may never be seen again.
To give you a sense of how unlikely that really is, set a timer for that many seconds (just seconds - not minutes, hours, days, or years). Stand on the equator, and take a step forward every 1 billion years. Once you've circled the entire Earth once, take a drop of water out of the Pacific Ocean every 1 billion years. Once it's empty, lay a row of papers from the Earth to the Sun. Afterward, shuffle a deck of cards and deal yourself with 5 cards every 1 billion years. Each time the deck of cards is a royal flush (1 in 649,740 chance), buy yourself a lottery ticket. Each time it hits the jackpot (a 1 in 175,000,000 chance), throw a grain of sand into the Grand Canyon. Once the Grand Canyon is full, repeat this process again but instead, remove 1 ounce of rock from Mount Everest every 1 billion years. Once Mount Everest ceases to exist, replicate this process 256 times, and your time will run out.
Down below is a table that recaps all the probabilities that were covered in this post.
Thing | Probability |
---|---|
Someone will having the same birthday as you if you step into a room with 50 people in it |
1 in 12 chance |
Getting accepted into Harvard |
1 in 20 chance |
Rolling a pair of dice and getting snake eyes |
1 in 36 chance |
Getting a brain tumor in your lifetime |
1 in 100 chance |
Getting killed in an automobile accident if you live in the USA |
1 in 102 chance |
Being born with eleven fingers or toes |
1 in 500 chance |
High-school hockey player making it to the pros |
1 in 598 chance |
High-school baseball player making it to the pros |
1 in 659 chance |
High-school football player making it to the pros |
1 in 4,233 chance |
High-school soccer player making it to the pros |
1 in 5,768 chance |
High-school basketball player making it to the pros |
1 in 11,771 chance |
Correctly guessing a four-digit PIN code |
1 in 10,000 chance |
Winning a perfect 300-point game in bowling |
1 in 11,500 chance |
Getting a hole-in-one in golf (if your golf skills are average) |
1 in 12,500 chance |
Getting murdered if you live in the USA |
1 in 18,000 chance |
Dying from a bee sting |
1 in 54,000 chance |
Being the CEO of a Fortune 500 Company if you are an MBA |
1 in 135,000 chance |
Being the CEO of a Fortune 500 company if you are an engineer |
1 in 164,000 chance |
Being the CEO of a Fortune 500 company if you are a lawyer |
1 in 386,000 chance |
Getting killed in a fireworks accident |
1 in 340,000 chance |
Getting dealt a royal flush in Poker |
1 in 649,740 chance |
Getting killed by a terrorist attack in the USA |
1 in 4,000,000 chance |
Getting eaten by a shark |
1 in 8,000,000 chance |
Becoming the president of the United States (if you are a US citizen) |
1 in 10,000,000 chance |
Getting killed in a plane crash |
1 in 11,000,000 chance |
Winning the Jackpot of the PowerBall Lottery |
1 in 175,000,000 chance |
Getting a perfect NCAA bracket |
1 in 128 billion chance |
Getting killed by a falling satellite |
1 in 21 trillion chance |
Taking a 100-question multiple choice quiz correctly guessing every question |
1 in 750 trillion chance |
Shuffling a deck of cards and getting the same exact order |
1 in 80 unvigintillion chance |
Btw, how are these chances determined...the possibility of these happenings?
And should I feel lucky that I do got all correct in a 100 Multiple Choice Question test in my school once because I was prepared.
Thanks Pandora for writing this, look forward to many more :)