Most likely swing states in 2020

Name the most likely swing states in 2020. ( This is just my opinion )

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Last updated: August 10, 2020

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First submitted	June 21, 2018
Times taken	223
Average score	85.7%
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Last voted party	State
Democratic	Maine
Democratic	Minnesota
Democratic	Nevada
Democratic	New Hampshire
Democratic	Virginia
Republican	Arizona
Republican	Florida
Republican	Georgia
Republican	Iowa
Republican	Michigan
Republican	North Carolina
Republican	Ohio
Republican	Pennsylvania
Republican	Wisconsin

12 Comments

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Level 62

Apr 26, 2019

Good quiz! I'm surprised you don't see North Carolina as a swing state.

Level 93

Jul 11, 2020

Why may I ask do you think Ohio will be a swing state but Minnesota won't be?

Level 88

Aug 8, 2020

I mostly agree but would expect Colorado and North Carolina to be here, too, and possibly Minnesota as well.

Level 93

Aug 10, 2020

Yeah Minnesota was on the edge of a knife last election.

Level 51

Sep 22, 2020

Since when has Michigan been Republican?

Level 63

Sep 23, 2020

They voted for Trump in 16

Level 82

Oct 5, 2020

If going by the most recent polling data, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah, Indiana, Illinois, Mississippi, Kansas, Colorado, Alaska, Montana, NE-2, South Carolina, Missouri, and Texas are all more competitive this year than Maine. As are every other state you listed on the quiz.

Do you mean ME-2? Maine, like Nebraska, has some districts that vote apart from the rest of the state. That district does sometimes go Republican. But the rest of the state is pretty solidly Democratic.

Level 82

Oct 5, 2020

Biggest surprise this year is how competitive Texas has become. In many polls they have Biden and Trump tied, and some even have Biden ahead.

Level 51

Oct 8, 2020

All of these states are projected to be Democratic :)

Level 93

Oct 28, 2020

Not a chance in hell. There is a tiny tiny tiny chance that either candidate gets all of these. Biden is not winning Ohio or Iowa by a long shot and Trump likely won't get close to winning Virginia.

Level 51

Jan 4, 2021

Weirdly, Minnesota holds the longest streak of voting Democratic, since it voted for Richard Nixon in 1972.

Level 22

Mar 28, 2021

It was the only state to avoid the 1984 republican landslide and in 1980.